Thursday, August 14, 2008

14th August Signal

All the events for today did not trigger our signals. GBP Claimant Count Change came out at 20.1K, while USD Core Retail Sales came out at 0.4% but USDJPY still went down by over 40pips in 1 hour.

Time: 7:00am. Event: EUR German Prelim GDP q/q.

Previous: 1.5%. Forecast: -0.8%.

Recommendations: Buy EURUSD if it is 0% or a positive number for 30pips or more in the first hour of the report.

Sell EURUSD if actual is -1.6% or more negative for 30pips.

EUR CPI y/y will come out at 10:00am.

Previous: 4.1%. Forecast: 4.1%.

Recommendations: Buy EURUSD if actual is 4.3% or higher for 30pips or more in the first hour. Sell EURUSD if it is 3.9% or lower.

Trading this on the retracement might be a good idea.

At 1:30pm we will be watching and probably trading USD Core CPI m/m.

Previous: 0.3%. Forecast: 0.2%.

Recommendations: Buy USDJPY if actual is 0.4% or higher for 30pips in the first 15 minutes. Sell USDJPY if it is 0.0% or negative for 30pips or more.

Please pay attention also to the year over year components to avoid whipsaw.

You may straddle with 10pips stop loss.

Then at 11:45pm we will be watching and probably trading NZD Retail Sales m/m.

Previous: -1.2%. Forecast: 0.1%.

Recommendations: Buy NZDUSD if actual is 0.8% or higher for 20pips in the first 5 minutes.

Sell NZDUSD if it is -0.6% or more negative for 20pips.

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