Let's talk about Friday.
Let's talk about friday events.
1. Friday, August 29th, 2008 (8:30 a.m. New York Time) USA
At 8:30 a.m. we will have Canadian GDP m/m coming out as well as Raw
Material Index and some other reports out of Canada. We will also have
a few U.S. reports such as U.S. Core PCE or U.S. Personal Income. For
the afterspike trading: focus first on the U.S. reports. Personal Income
is expected to come out at -0.2%, by the way. If Personal Income comes
out at -0.7% and Personal Spending comes out at -0.3%, I would sell USD/JPY
or buy EUR/USD, and look for 30 pips or so. If either of them comes out
lower by 1.0 and the other one would not conflict, this would also be
a sell signal on USD/JPY or buy on EUR/USD. If U.S. Personal Income comes
out at 0.3% and Personal Spending comes out at 0.7%, this would be buy
on USD/JPY or sell on EUR/USD. Or, if either comes out higher by 1.0,
and the other one is not conflicting, this should work as well. U.S.
Core PCE is not a big deal.
2. Friday, August 29th, 2008 (8:30 a.m. New York Time) CANADA
For the Canadian GDP: 0.5 deviation on the GDP Annualized or 0.2 deviation
on GDP m/m should be enough to move EUR/CAD pretty well. Raw Material index,
when conflicting, can be a problem but other than that, this should be
tradable if you have SNW software. Keep in mind that we might see a very
fast retracement and Canadian GDP is not as hot as it used to be but
I still think this is worthy to give a try (Sir Pips does not agree, well,
time will show...). I cannot access FPA Calendar now to give you a few
examples, but I do remember that USD/CAD may not move at all whereas
EUR/USD can move pretty well. At least this was a case last month,
I believe. I would actually prefer to check charts to make sure 0.2 on
m/m is not too risky to trade but I am not able to do that now. Keep in
mind that EUR/CAD may and usually have higher spread than USD/CAD but
I would really forget about USD/CAD here. Higher GDP is good for the
Canadian dollar so it would be sell on EUR/CAD, and lower GDP is bad
for the Canadian dollar and this would be a buy signal on EUR/CAD. Too
\bad I cannot post this on FPA forum so I am not leaving specific triggers
as I need to work more on this, and I am not able to update emails like
I would be able to update a post on FPA website. If you want to play safe,
you may try 0.3 deviation on GDP m/m and 0.2 trigger would be for more
aggressive traders if they can get fast, know how to exit fast and have
a reasonable spread on EUR/CAD.
3. Friday, August 29th, 2008 (9:42 a.m. New York Time) USA
At 9:42 we will have Chicago PMI. You can trade it only if you are able
to get the number at 9:42 a.m., NOT 9:45 a.m. If it comes out at 52.0 or
higher, it should be OK to sell GBP/USD or EUR/USD and look for 30 pips
move. If it comes out at 47.9 or lower, this should be OK to buy EUR/USD
or GDP/USD. I would personally want to see at least 3 deviation as I saw
quite high spreads on previous releases and I cannot hook up SNW with that.
That would be all for Friday.
Showing posts with label Forex Signal for Friday 29th. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Forex Signal for Friday 29th. Show all posts
Friday, August 29, 2008
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)